Underdog Fantasy Picks for November 15th
Four Players to Pick for Saturday's Slate
It’s been a busy week, which explains my lack of a “Studs and Duds” post for Week 5. Thus, I am going to do a combined Week 5 and 6 post on Sunday, and try to write a “streamer” post on Thursday for the weekend of Week 7.
With a slate of 13 games on Saturday, I figured it would be a good idea to do an Underdog Fantasy Picks post.
In this post, I will focus on four players to pick on Underdog Fantasy and what “prop” to pick for their respective games today. For those who are looking to stream in fantasy over the next two days, below is the Fantasy Hockey Schedule Summary from TJ Stats, which shows the best teams to pick from if you’re looking for streaming options.
Vegas, Detroit, Minnesota, Tampa, and the New York Rangers are the best teams to stream this weekend, as all five teams have back-to-back games. The Golden Knights have the best schedule of the group, with a 2.0 score, thanks to contests against St. Louis and Minnesota, who are also coming off back-to-backs.
Now, let’s take a look at my Underdog Fantasy Picks for today’s games.
Morgan Geekie, BOS, Higher 0.5 Points
Geekie has seven points in his last five games, with two points in his previous game on November 13th at Ottawa. Over the last week of games (3), he is shooting 20% and averaging 1.67 PTS/G. His 26.1% Shooting% and 3.1 PTS/60 are high marks, but only slightly, according to Dobber Hockey’s Buy/Sell meter.
With that latter point known, things seemed primed for Geekie to have a solid performance against a Canadiens team struggling on defense. The Montreal blue line is giving up 4.00 GA/GP and 26.6 SA/GOP and has given up 4+ goals in five games and 5+ goals in two games in their past nine contests. While Boston is on the road, the Bruins should be hyped for this rivalry contest on Saturday evening, which should benefit Geekie.
Mortiz Seider, DET, High 2.5 Shots
The shooting numbers haven’t been great for the Red Wings’ blue liners, as he is sporting a 5% Shooting%, 8.3% 5-on-5 Shooting%, and 1.1 PTS/60. That said, he is still averaging 2.35 SOG/G this season, and he gets considerable minutes as a first-line defensman (25:22 TOI) and power-play quarterback (3:47 PP TOI).
The Red Wings play a Sabres team that has allowed 4.33 goals per game in their past three contest as well as 34 shots per game over that same time span. In his past three games, Seider is averaging three shots per game and 7.1 shots per 60 minutes. Thus, while I question the scoring ability against Buffalo, I do believe Seider will get three or more shots off on goal.
Sebastian Aho, CAR, Higher 0.5 Points
Aho has been on a tear lately, having seven points in the last six games. The 28-year-old center has been one of the Hurricanes’ more dependable scorers, as he is averaging 0.41 goals per game and 1.06 PTS/G in 20:13 TOI and 3:08 PP TOI this season.
In Aho’s past four games, he’s averaging 1.25 PTS/G and has a Shooting% of 20%. That is a good matchup against an Edmonton blue line that has allowed 4.17 goals per game over its last six contests.
The Oilers have been a slight disappointment overall after reaching the Stanley Cup Finals a season ago. They sit in fourth place in the Pacific Division with 20 points, which isn’t bad, but still underwhelming considering the roster that returned. Could the Oilers turn it around? Sure, but I think Aho and the Hurricanes will get their fair share of scoring tonight.
Connor Bedard, CHI, Higher 1.5 Points
After stagnating a bit last season after a promising rookie campaign in 2023-2024, Bedard has come out on fire this season. Not only has he led the Blackhawks to 20 points this year, but he is also averaging 1.53 PTS/G, 3.18 SOG/G, and an IPP of 81.3%.
Of course, some of the shooting metrics are pretty high, even for his talented standards. His Shooting% is 18.5% and his 5-on-5 Shooting% is 13.3%, which are much higher than his 11.8% and 9.2%, respectively, a season ago. He has also been on a particularly scorching tear in his last three games, with three goals, eight points, and a Shooting% of 37.5%. Obviously, that latter mark isn’t going to stay that high for much longer.
Nonetheless, Chicago faces a Leafs team that has given up 4.17 goals and 36 shots per game over its previous six. Considering how hot Bedard is playing and how crucial he is to the Blackhawks’ attack, it seems likely that Bedard has another multi-point effort in him at home on Saturday night.
Photo Credit: Matt Krohn-USA TODAY Sports